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Abstract:Risk appetite has been a primary feature of the markets landscape throughout 2019 thus far. However, this speculative charge seemed to find its traction in hope – hope that trade wars were easing, central banks would raise support and growth would level out. Those hopes are wavering and so too
Australian Dollar Forecast – Australian Dollar Likely Loser In Ugly Contest With US Cousin
The Australian Dollar gained when the US Fed struck a dovish tone last week. But markets soon realized that what applies to the Fed probably goes double for the RBA.
British Pound Forecast – GBP Fundamental Forecast: And The Brexit Band Played On
Another week consisting of point, counterpoint, noise and rumors ends up with no-one any the wiser as to how and when Brexit will end. And yet Sterling continues to battle to keep its head above water.
US Dollar Forecast – Post-FOMC U.S. Dollar Recovery to Face Slowing GDP Report
Developments coming out of the U.S. may continue to drag on the dollar as ‘data arriving since September suggest that growth is slowing somewhat more than expected.’
Gold Forecast – Gold Price Outlook Clouded by Recession Signals, US Econ Data Drop
Gold prices rose as a dovish Fed sent bond yields lower and fears of a recession subsequently increased. Near-term XAU/USD outlook neutral, precious metal eyeing US GDP and core PCE inflation.
Euro Forecast – Euro at Risk on Data Flow and ECB Comments, Brexit Vote May Eyed
The Euro may face further selling pressure as incoming data flow and downbeat ECB commentary weigh on policy expectations. Another Brexit vote threatens volatility.
Equities Forecast –Dow Jones, FTSE 100 and DAX 30 Fundamental Forecast
The Dow Jones will cope with a dovish Fed and lower growth forecasts while European equity markets look to avoid a “no-deal” Brexit.
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The views in this article only represent the author's personal views, and do not constitute investment advice on this platform. This platform does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness and timeliness of the information in the article, and will not be liable for any loss caused by the use of or reliance on the information in the article.
Gold is poised for significant gains in 2025, with experts predicting its price to climb between US$2,900 and US$3,000 per ounce or potentially higher. Analysts attribute this optimistic outlook to sustained gold purchases by central banks, ongoing geopolitical tensions, declining global interest rates, and persistent economic uncertainties. These factors, coupled with gold’s status as a hedge against inflation, underline the precious metal’s appeal in volatile times.
The initial value of the US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI in August was 48, which was lower than expected and the lowest in 8 months; the service PMI was 55.2, which exceeded the expected 54. The number of initial jobless claims in the week ending August 17 was 232,000, slightly higher than expected, and the previous value was revised from 227,000 to 228,000. Existing home sales in July increased for the first time in five months. The PMI data was lower than expected, which was bad for the US eco
The monthly rate of retail sales in the United States in July was 1%, far exceeding expectations; the number of initial claims last week was slightly lower than expected, falling to the lowest level since July; traders cut their expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve, and interest rate futures priced that the Federal Reserve would reduce the rate cut to 93 basis points this year. The probability of a 50 basis point rate cut in September fell to 27%. The data broke the expectation of a
Gold prices experienced their largest gain in three weeks, driven by escalating tensions in the Middle East and the easing of the U.S. dollar as markets await the crucial CPI reading due on Wednesday. Gold has surged to an all-time high above $2,460, as uncertainties surrounding developments in both the Middle East and Eastern Europe persist push the demand for safe-haven assets higher.